Up to date on September seventeenth, 2022 by Felix Martinez
Concerning dividend development shares, the Dividend Aristocrats are the “cream of the crop.” These are shares within the S&P 500 Index with 25+ consecutive years of dividend will increase. We suggest that long-term buyers on the lookout for the most effective shares first contemplate the Dividend Aristocrats.
We now have compiled a listing of all 66 Dividend Aristocrats, together with related monetary metrics like dividend yield and P/E ratios. You may obtain the complete listing of Dividend Aristocrats by clicking on the hyperlink under:
On the similar time, Actual Property Funding Trusts (REITs) seem to be pure suits for the Dividend Aristocrats. REITs are required to distribute no less than 90% of their earnings to shareholders, which results in regular dividend development for the asset class, offered earnings develop over time.
And but, there are solely three REITs on the listing of Dividend Aristocrats: Federal Realty Funding Belief (FRT), Essex Property Belief (ESS), and Realty Earnings (O). The explanation for the relative lack of REITs within the Dividend Aristocrats Index is primarily as a result of excessive payout requirement of REITs. It’s difficult to develop dividends year-in-and-year-out when the majority of earnings is distributed, as this leaves little margin for error.
Realty Earnings has a really spectacular dividend historical past, significantly for a REIT. Realty Earnings is a Dividend Aristocrat. Additionally it is a month-to-month dividend inventory, that means it pays shareholders 12 dividends every year as an alternative of the extra typical quarterly cost schedule.
This text will focus on this Dividend Aristocrat in additional element.
Enterprise Overview
Realty Earnings was based in 1969. It’s a retail-focused REIT that has change into well-known for its profitable dividend development historical past and month-to-month dividend funds, even labeling itself “The Month-to-month Dividend Firm.” The belief employs a extremely scalable enterprise mannequin that has enabled it to develop into a large landlord of greater than 11,100 properties. Realty Earnings is a big cap inventory with a market cap of $39.2 billion.
Whereas many retail landlords are struggling within the age of Amazon (AMZN) and e-commerce, Realty Earnings continues to thrive as a result of it owns retail properties that aren’t a part of a wider retail improvement (corresponding to a mall) however as an alternative are standalone properties. This implies the properties are viable for a lot of tenants, together with authorities providers, healthcare providers, and leisure.
In actual fact, Realty Earnings owns a extremely diversified portfolio by business, tenant, and geography. The overwhelming majority of its hire comes from e-commerce and recession-resistant tenants, making it a superb bond substitute. The corporate additionally has publicity to industrial, workplace, and agricultural tenants, although retail nonetheless makes up the majority of its rental earnings. The corporate derives rental earnings from all around the United States and the UK, insulating itself in opposition to regional challenges.
Supply: Investor Presentation
The REIT’s enterprise mannequin is kind of easy and has delivered spectacular long-term outcomes. Realty Earnings acquires well-located industrial properties, stays disciplined in acquisition underwriting, executes long-term internet lease agreements, and actively manages the portfolio to maximise worth. It additionally maintains a conservative steadiness sheet with a laser-like give attention to rising funds from operations (FFO) per share and month-to-month dividend funds to buyers.
The outcomes of this mannequin communicate for themselves: 15.1% compound common annual complete return because the 1994 itemizing on the New York Inventory Trade, a decrease beta worth (a measure of inventory volatility) than the S&P 500 in the identical time interval, and optimistic earnings-per-share development in 25 out of the previous 26 years.
Supply: Investor Presentation
Development Prospects
The belief’s development historical past is outstanding. Annual development – fueled by sluggish however regular annual hire hikes and a constantly sturdy acquisition pipeline – has been constant throughout financial cycles, making it a spectacular dividend development inventory.
Realty Earnings’s future development will likely be fueled by its confirmed, extremely scalable enterprise mannequin, entry to important low-cost capital, and in depth community of relationships with a various array of tenants. Acquisitions have been a significant element of Realty Earnings’s development for a few years.
Supply: Investor Presentation
Annual hire will increase are low, making natural development very sluggish. In consequence, it should discover a method to proceed buying sufficient properties to maintain transferring the needle in a significant manner.
The excellent news is that its low value of capital (through share issuances above internet asset worth and low-interest charges because of its A-rating) permits it to actively deploy capital regardless of compressing cap charges. Nevertheless, if administration fails to proceed this effort, buyers could also be in for important a number of contractions to regulate for declining development expectations.
In the newest quarter, Realty Earnings beat analyst estimates on each income and FFO-per-share. Income elevated 74.9% from the identical quarter final yr on account of property acquisitions and hire will increase. Adjusted FFO-per-share beats estimates by $0.03 and elevated by 15.9% evaluate to the secound quarter of 2021.
Future development stays seemingly, as the corporate’s acquisition pipeline is powerful. For instance, Realty Earnings’s acquisition of VEREIT, which closed in early November, is accountable for almost all of the forecasted development on this yr’s outcomes, regardless of the dilution that was attributable to the shares that had been issued for the takeover.
Aggressive Benefits & Recession Efficiency
A method REITs set up a aggressive benefit is thru investing within the highest-quality portfolios. Realty Earnings has completed this by constructing a broadly diversified portfolio of well-located actual property with many high-quality tenants.
Realty Earnings additionally advantages from a positive financial backdrop, with excessive occupancy charges and the power to boost rents over time.
One other – and maybe probably the most distinguished – aggressive benefit for Realty Earnings is its extraordinarily sturdy steadiness sheet. With a credit standing of A- from Normal & Poor’s – which is solidly investment-grade and a excessive score for a REIT – it is ready to unlock worth in important acquisitions merely by way of refinancing the prevailing debt on the properties it acquires at significantly decrease rates of interest.
In consequence, it is ready to profitably put money into high-quality belongings that lots of its opponents couldn’t. This provides it the power to construct a extra strong portfolio whereas additionally having extra development levers out there to it, producing superior risk-adjusted returns for shareholders.
Historical past exhibits that these aggressive strengths enable Realty Earnings to outperform effectively in the course of the worst of financial recessions. For instance, its FFO per share in the course of the Nice Recession (from 2007-2009) grew at an annualized price of two.1%, and its occupancy remained extremely resilient all through the whole interval.
This was a outstanding achievement and speaks to the power of the enterprise mannequin. We count on Realty Earnings to carry up equally effectively in the course of the subsequent downturn, and actually, it would seemingly current the belief with a possibility to refuel its development pipeline as it would seemingly use its sturdy steadiness sheet to grab up discounted properties.
Valuation & Anticipated Returns
Primarily based on our anticipated 2022 adjusted FFO-per-share of $4.00, Realty Earnings’s inventory trades for a price-to-FFO ratio of 16.1. Traders can consider this as much like a price-to-earnings ratio. Our honest worth estimate is a P/FFO ratio of 18, making the inventory undervalued proper now.
An rising P/FFO ratio may enhance annual returns by 2.5% per yr over the following 5 years. Additionally, future returns will likely be comprised of a mixture of FFO development (estimated at 4% yearly) and dividends (present yield is 4.7%), resulting in anticipated annual returns of 11.2% per yr.
The present dividend yield of 4.7% is effectively above the S&P 500 common, and the corporate has completed a superb job rising the dividend payout over time. Realty Earnings has paid over 625 consecutive month-to-month dividends with out interruption and has raised the dividend over 116 instances.
Closing Ideas
Traders flock to REITs for dividends, and with excessive yields throughout the asset class, it’s straightforward to see why they’re so fashionable for earnings buyers.
We now have compiled a listing of 150+ REITs, which might be worthy of additional consideration primarily based on their dividend yields and dividend development potential. You may see our total REIT listing right here.
Realty Earnings is undervalued at current and affords buyers good complete return potential. That mentioned, we consider the inventory stays extremely interesting for earnings buyers on the lookout for a safe payout with regular dividend development.
If you’re fascinated with discovering extra high-quality dividend development shares appropriate for long-term funding, the next Positive Dividend databases will likely be helpful:
The most important home inventory market indices are one other stable useful resource for locating funding concepts. Positive Dividend compiles the next inventory market databases and updates them month-to-month:
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